UFC 285 Freemium: 14 Crazy Picks + My Bets

UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that will take place on March 4, 2023, at the T-Mobile Arena facility in Paradise, Nevada, part of the Las Vegas Metropolitan Area, United States.

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Not an easy card for betting. This card is full of overpriced favorites, so before I come up with any bets, here are my picks for UFC 285.

Picks

Gane by Split Decision, I spoke about potential point deductions in this fight, so I wouldn’t be surprised if this fight ends in No Contest or Draw.

Alexa By Split Decision, Alexa’s Moneyline is a viable bet for me, I wouldn’t be surprised if Grasso pulls out a late sub in rounds 3 thru 5.

Neal by KO, I like this matchup for Geoff. He shouldn’t be letting Shavkat get comfortable striking at range. Rakhmonov's boxing fundamentals are very sound. He is a deserved favorite in this fight. Geoff is, however, is a great value bet for me, because his wrestling defense is solid and his power will be a problem for Shavkat.

Turner by KO, can Jalin become the first fighter to KO Gamrot? It’s a tall order. Gamrot does not have much trouble in strikers, but I like Jalin to find his way out of wrestling sequences and find a spectacular finish of some sort, like a flying knee.

Bo Nickal by anyhow he wants, it’s an interesting matchup because everybody and their grandma are betting Nickal round one. You know I’m different. :) Pickett only needs to survive round one for me to enjoy beautiful round 2 ITD props. They are so juicy, so I will have Bo in Round 2 by Sub and by KO props, both straight and in parlays.